Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 3.553159 4.239340 5.004262 5.917513 6.975383 8.159325 9.581678
2025-10-05 2.707883 3.627672 4.758150 6.238414 8.112836 10.393475 13.362791
2025-10-12 2.132590 3.147699 4.500001 6.407868 9.000065 12.365041 17.022671
2025-10-19 1.775016 2.846858 4.375596 6.670566 9.973690 14.491045 21.055123
2025-10-26 1.448759 2.508950 4.118421 6.673520 10.543931 16.084265 24.480502
2025-11-02 1.151636 2.147603 3.752358 6.437614 10.702919 17.069572 27.093520
2025-11-09 0.926192 1.853460 3.433923 6.211388 10.820070 17.966340 29.611602
2025-11-16 0.787983 1.681280 3.282865 6.222835 11.292089 19.417519 33.057574
2025-11-23 0.676363 1.534703 3.149505 6.237816 11.756659 20.877621 36.611245
2025-11-30 0.575350 1.387624 2.989806 6.178651 12.076759 22.113630 39.879890
2025-12-07 0.466997 1.201838 2.725436 5.886687 11.945459 22.569116 41.874481
2025-12-14 0.401139 1.094806 2.598845 5.836887 12.239973 23.764489 45.189127
2025-12-21 0.344469 0.998531 2.482711 5.799033 12.564844 25.061499 48.820256
2025-12-28 0.325926 0.991926 2.559329 6.166614 13.709382 27.926412 55.432389
2026-01-04 0.296205 0.950088 2.550252 6.350291 14.504973 30.205488 61.140423
2026-01-11 0.274822 0.925862 2.577832 6.615802 15.488982 32.905902 67.793198
2026-01-18 0.241423 0.859866 2.494330 6.620185 15.927619 34.589341 72.651530
2026-01-25 0.201324 0.763509 2.318516 6.386369 15.831750 35.215104 75.533567
2026-02-01 0.167991 0.678647 2.156702 6.161861 15.728335 35.808883 78.379521
2026-02-08 0.148566 0.633944 2.094653 6.173263 16.150663 37.495060 83.470261
2026-02-15 0.131719 0.593423 2.037182 6.188149 16.580428 39.223020 88.744928
2026-02-22 0.114777 0.547503 1.955836 6.129404 16.829930 40.584517 93.352604
2026-03-01 0.094048 0.480098 1.796954 5.839508 16.493342 40.658662 95.303132